Austria Bundesliga – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables 2023-24

£1.20

Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2023-24 Season

Enhance your understanding of past Austria Bundesliga betting strategies with Soccerwidow’s archived HDAFU Tables.

These tables delved into the intricacies of bookmaker odds manipulations, illuminating areas ripe for astute wagering within the Austria Bundesliga’s fluctuating market.

A historical review of the ‘Backing the Home Win’ profit/loss curve reveals initial stability until odds of 1.34, followed by a steep decline, reflecting a loss of 15,500 units up to odds of 4.4. This trend illustrated Austrian bettors’ strong preference for home wins, a behaviour bookmakers exploited by slightly tweaking the odds in their favour, especially between the 75% to 25% odds range, to secure their profits.

The situation was more complex with draws and away wins, as the curves suggested a less favoured inclination towards backing away victories.

For those analysing past seasons, strategies such as laying home wins throughout the season or selectively backing certain draws or away wins were recommended. Explore these dynamics with our HDAFU Tables to navigate through the bookies’ tactics in Austria’s Bundesliga.  

Product Specification
960 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 2.11 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on: a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds) b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Austria Bundesliga Calendar 2023-24
Start Date: 05th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 16th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 24th February, 2024 Finish Date:
T.B.A.
The league splits into two groups after the 24th February, and until positions are finalized the fixture list going forwards won’t be published.

Licensing for Educational and Personal Use
Our archived tables are offered at a symbolic price to enhance educational initiatives and expand learning opportunities.

For educators, a single license purchase authorizes use of our archived tables on multiple computers within one classroom, facilitating accessible and integrated learning. Individual users, however, are required to obtain a separate license for personal use.

We trust you to select the most appropriate licensing option for your needs. Please remember that the people behind Soccerwidow also appreciate being able to buy the occasional cup of coffee.

The knowledge, concepts, algorithms, and mathematical formulas derived from these tables are free to discuss and share under the CC BY-SA (Attribution-ShareAlike) license. This license allows for sharing and adapting these materials, provided that Soccerwidow is credited as the source and any derivative works are shared under the same terms.

HDAFU Tables, as a strategic betting tool, analyse historical data to detect value bet clusters, unmask bookmakers’ odds strategies, and demonstrate the interplay of odds changes, fostering profitable betting decisions.

Deciphering odds isn’t a gamble, it’s cryptography. Break the code, reap the rewards.

BEYOND THE SURFACE OF BETTING

Unfolding Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, showcased in the Austria Bundesliga HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), delve beyond the surface of the betting scene.

These curves reveal the swings in profit/loss, echoing the bookmakers’ strategic adjustments of odds to balance the bets.

The nature of these adjustments inherently means that when one outcome is over-, another is under-priced, as the total probabilities must equate to 100%.

This nuanced understanding allows bettors to dissect the 1×2 betting market and identify odds clusters that fit the required strategy, turning the game in their favour.

ODDS’ STRATEGIC DANCE

Market vs. Bookmaker

The world of bookmaker odds is an intricate ballet, balancing mathematical probabilities with market forces and tactical manoeuvres.

It’s not just a game of numbers; it’s a strategic dance between the betting market’s pull and the bookmakers’ push for profits.

Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables pierce through this dance, shedding light on the subtle manipulations employed to direct public betting habits.

With this vital insight, astute punters can pinpoint odds discrepancies specific to individual leagues.

Such knowledge empowers you to seize control of this dance, shifting the rhythm of the betting game firmly into your hands.

FROM TRIPARTITE TO BINARY

HO/AO Quotient Revealed

Delve into the intricacies of 1X2 betting, and you’ll soon recognise the invaluable nature of the HO/AO Quotient. Defined as “Home Odds divided by Away Odds”, this ratio serves as a crucial tool for punters.

In the traditional 1X2 betting framework, outcomes are divided into three potential categories.

However, the HO/AO quotient ingeniously simplifies this to a binary outlook.

Take, for instance, odds like 1.5, which could ambiguously relate to either home or away outcomes, causing potential ambiguities.

Yet, by implementing the HO/AO quotient, the P/L curve is constructed not based on odds but on the teams’ inherent strengths, facilitating a more refined and insightful analysis.

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Austria Bundesliga - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing away win by HO-AO 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Austria Bundesliga - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing away win by HO-AO 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides

STRATEGY FOR AUTOMATED BETTING

Beyond Traditional Betting

The System Picker Tab provides a detailed view of a five-year profit/loss trajectory, shedding light on both promising and precarious back betting systems.

Consider this scenario: A strategy that can be profitable, but demands steely nerves. In the 2022-23 season, it might yield handsome profits, yet in 2020-21, it delivered a minor loss.

Such a strategy, which has a hit rate of only 43.06% and potential losing streaks (LLS) of up to eight consecutive losses, might be best executed using automated tools like MarketFeeder for trigger betting.

To illustrate, backing the Away Win in the season’s first half, when the HO AO Quotient ranges from 2.44 to 3.93 (with the away team as the favourite), offers potential.

Annually, about 30 matches may fit this profile, potentially leading to an ROI of roughly 50% — luck permitting, of course.

UNRAVELLING BETTING PATTERNS

Austrian Insights

The HDAFU Tables shed light on intriguing patterns in the Austria Bundesliga. Surprisingly, home wins, which often seem tempting, have led to a collective loss of 14,734 units, with each team playing its part.

Yet, when one considers laying the home side, prospects brighten, especially with teams like Austria Vienna and Wolfsberger AC.

Meanwhile, draw bets are more profitable, amassing an overall gain of 9,582 units, although not evenly distributed among teams.

The real eye-opener is ‘Backing the Away Win’. Take TSV Hartberg, for instance. When they host, betting on their opponents often yields rewards. And this isn’t an isolated case.

Intrigued? Acquire your HDAFU Table and dive into these captivating trends.

Austrian Bundesliga players in the middle of a match. One of then fell in a funny position, having the ball between his legs.

The examples provided merely represent an entry point to the HDAFU Tables‘ comprehensive offerings. Beyond these initial insights, the tables host a spectrum of intricate strategies and tailored league analyses.

While Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables empower you with robust data, maintaining responsible gambling practices remains an essential aspect of successful betting.