Belgium Jupiler – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables 2023-24

£1.25

Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2023-24 Season

Explore past betting dynamics of Belgium’s Jupiler League with Soccerwidow’s archived HDAFU Tables.

These tables provided a detailed analysis of odds movements, identifying significant betting patterns to aid past betting strategies.

Historically, the ‘Backing the Home Win’ profit/loss curves in the Jupiler League displayed distinct trends between the season’s halves. The first half showed bookmakers adjusting odds, which gave bettors opportunities to recover losses. However, the second half demonstrated a sharp decline in profitability post odds of 2.4, culminating in nearly 8,000 units lost.

This past trend underscored shifting confidence in home advantages, which bookmakers capitalised on by strategically adjusting odds.

These insights from our HDAFU Tables were designed to enhance betting strategies for followers of Belgium’s Jupiler League in previous seasons.
 

Product Specification

1390 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 2.71 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses
    >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Belgium Jupiler Calendar 2023-24

Start Date: 04th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 26th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 20th January, 2024
Finish Date: 16th March, 2024

Licensing for Educational and Personal Use
Our archived tables are offered at a symbolic price to enhance educational initiatives and expand learning opportunities.

For educators, a single license purchase authorizes use of our archived tables on multiple computers within one classroom, facilitating accessible and integrated learning. Individual users, however, are required to obtain a separate license for personal use.

We trust you to select the most appropriate licensing option for your needs. Please remember that the people behind Soccerwidow also appreciate being able to buy the occasional cup of coffee.

The knowledge, concepts, algorithms, and mathematical formulas derived from these tables are free to discuss and share under the CC BY-SA (Attribution-ShareAlike) license. This license allows for sharing and adapting these materials, provided that Soccerwidow is credited as the source and any derivative works are shared under the same terms.

Leveraging past data, HDAFU Tables identify value bet clusters, reveal bookmakers’ odd manipulation tactics, and elucidate how odds fluctuations impact other outcomes, aiding bettors in making informed, profitable decisions.

When you see through the bookmakers’ charade, it’s not about the score line; it’s about the bottom line

MANOEUVRING THE 1X2 BETTING MAZE

Navigating Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, encompassed in the Belgium Jupiler HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), offer punters a compass to manoeuvre the complex betting maze.

These turning points represent the shift in profit/loss trends, reflecting how bookmakers adjust odds to keep their books balanced.

Hence, if one outcome’s odds are inflated, another’s odds get deflated, maintaining the total probabilities at 100%.

By leveraging this knowledge, punters can navigate the betting maze, pinpointing underpriced and overpriced odds clusters unique to each league.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2018-23 - Backing the home win 1st half by odds

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2018-23 - Backing the home win 2nd half by odds

UNRAVELLING MARKET INFLUENCES ON BOOKMAKER ODDS

Decoding the Secret Code

Bookmaker odds aren’t static figures; they’re dynamic entities, moulded by the ebb and flow of market dynamics.

Bookmakers deftly manoeuvre these odds to ensure a balanced book and safeguard their profit margins.

This delicate balancing act is laid bare in Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables’ P/L curves, exposing key moments of strategic odds adjustment.

With this roadmap, insightful punters can identify over- and under-priced odds clusters unique to each league, steering their way to profitable betting.

AN INSIGHTFUL METRIC FOR BETTING PROWESS

Understanding the HO/AO Quotient

The HO/AO Quotient, representing the “Home Odds divided by Away Odds”, serves as a crucial instrument for those venturing into the 1X2 betting maze.

While 1X2 betting typically encompasses three outcomes – Home, Draw, and Away, this quotient simplifies it to a binary perspective.

For example, underdog odds like 6.5 could be linked to either the home or away team.

By introducing the HO/AO quotient, this uncertainty is removed, allowing odds to be systematically aligned with team strengths, thus enhancing the clarity of P/L curve analyses.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Belgium Jupiler Pro League 2018-23 - Backing the underdog 1st half by HO-AO

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Belgium Jupiler Pro League - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing underdog by HO-AO 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Belgium Jupiler Pro League - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing underdog by HO-AO 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides

DEVELOPING BETTING STRATEGIES

System Picker Insights

The System Picker Tab provides a projection over a five-year profit/loss trajectory, shedding light on both rewarding and less fruitful back betting systems.

This multifaceted tool offers filtering by bet type, season, and post-Inflection Point graph evaluation.

Let’s explore the Underdog Win, First Half, by HO AO Quotient ranging from 0.702 to 1.617.

These figures equate to odds between 3.14 to 3.4 for the underdog, which could be either the home or away team in this context.

Opting for this system? Consider using a bot for emotion-free betting, especially given its 39.91% hit rate and a past record of 13 consecutive losses.

Its performance can vary annually, making it suitable for inclusion in a paper exercise, priming oneself for sustained betting with fluctuating profit/losses.

BELGIUM JUPILER’S BETTING PUZZLE

Profit Paths

Belgium’s Jupiler League, over the past five seasons, presents a challenging betting landscape.

Blindly wagering on outcomes has likely led to losses: Home Wins resulted in an 8,697-unit loss, Draws a 12,933-unit deficit, while Away Wins showed a marginal profit of 871 units.

Betting solely on favourites or underdogs also revealed losses of 5,273 and 2,553 units, respectively.

However, the ‘Backing by Team’ tab offers rays of hope. Some teams, perhaps misjudged by public perception, yielded consistent profits over this period.

It seems the public overestimates certain teams, influencing bookmakers to adjust odds.

Delving into this tab may unveil overlooked betting opportunities, providing an enlightening perspective on market dynamics.

During the match RSC Anderlecht vs Standard de Liege / Luik, Silvio Proto keeper of Anderlecht

Our showcased examples offer a preliminary view; the true depth of Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables extends far beyond. By exploring further, you’ll uncover data-driven strategies and specific league nuances tailored for optimal betting outcomes.

As you capitalise on these insights, it’s vital always to prioritise responsible gambling.