Austria Bundesliga Cluster Tables



Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Cluster Tables
Valid for the 2023-24 season

FT Over/Under markets between 0.5 & 6.5 Goals
HT Over/Under markets between 0.5 & 2.5 Goals

Discover the excitement of the Austrian Football League, offering unpredictability and thrilling goal betting opportunities.

Known for its expertise in scoring from set-pieces, such as free-kicks and corners, the league provides high-scoring potential. Explore the goal disparity between home and away matches to gain a betting advantage and leverage the Cluster Tables to identify valuable bets.

With the Austrian League’s surprises and goal-rich matches, it’s a must-try for football bettors seeking strategic and informed wagers.

Should you not know: >>> What is a Cluster Table? <<<

With your purchase, you will also receive the Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Cluster Tables for the 2022-23 season, allowing you to backtest your strategies. Please note that there was a major upgrade this season, and the layout of the previous tables may appear a little outdated.

Product Specification
Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Table (948 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 416 kB)

  • In conjunction with the Fundamentals of Sports Betting Course
  • 8 teams with 5 seasons of data: Austria Vienna, LASK, Rapid Vienna, RB Salzburg, Rheindorf Altach, Sturm Graz, TSV Hartberg, Wolfsberger AC
  • Min. 80 games out of 192 = 41.67% of 2023-24 games available for betting (i.e. second half of season: 3/4 or 4/3 split of teams into Championship or Relegation groups) Max. 88 games out of 192 = 45.83% of 2023-24 games available for betting (i.e. second half of season: 1/6 or 6/1 split of teams into Championship or Relegation groups) (Excludes all Euro League & Relegation play-off games)
Austria Bundesliga Calendar
strong>Start Date: 05th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 16th December, 2023
2nd Half starts: 24th February, 2024
Finish Date: T.B.A.
The league splits into two groups after the 24th February, and until positions are finalized the fixture list going forwards won’t be published.

Cluster Tables are a valuable resource for those looking to make strategic bets in the Over/Under goals market. They help bettors to calculate probabilities and Zero-Odds for goal bets, enabling value detection by comparing market prices to true odds.

Want to fully understand Cluster Tables and how to apply them? Get our Fundamentals of Sports Betting course book.

The beauty of statistics lies in its ability to reveal the hidden patterns within the chaos of betting markets.


Deadly from Corners

The Austrian league is known for being particularly adept at scoring from set-pieces, such as free-kicks and corners.

Teams that excel in set-piece play often win and contribute to higher-scoring games. Set-piece goals are typically scored from long-range shots or headers, making them more difficult to defend against.

Austrian football’s unpredictability and high-scoring potential make it ideal for thrilling goal betting opportunities.

Wien, Austria - 27 april, 2022: Austrian Football Bundesliga SK Rapid Wien - SK Austria Klagenfurt 2:2 Martin Moormann Centre-Back

Graph of Goal Distribution - Austria Bundesliga - 2017-18 to 2021-22


Covid-19 or Not

The Austrian Bundesliga (12 teams) follows a double round-robin format, meaning that each team plays against every other team twice.

The league also features a playoff phase, known as the Meistergruppe and Qualifikationsgruppe, where the top six and bottom six teams respectively play against each other twice, leading to a total of 192 matches per season.

The format was slightly changed in the 2018-19 season, leading to an increase from 180 matches in the previous season and had a slight effect on the statistical pattern as you can see from the graph. However, the Covid-19 pandemic did not effect on the number of goals scored.


Predicting the Future

Football is a game of numbers, and understanding the science behind odds can give you a significant advantage when it comes to betting.

It’s crucial to consider the difference in goal counts between matches played at home and away, as it’s a prevalent trend across many teams and leagues, including Salzburg.

When Salzburg plays at home, approx. 3 out of 10 matches (28.9%) finish with less than 3 goals. But when they play away, this figure rises to almost 4 out of 10 matches (37.5%).

To quantify this knowledge, the Under 2.5 bet should be priced as high as 3.46 (5/2) when Salzburg plays at home. But when Salzburg is the away team, a price of 2.67 (7/4) would be more reasonable.

Graph: Austria, Salzburg - Distribution of Under X goals, home & away 2017-18 to 2021-22 Graph: Austria, Salzburg - Zero odds for Under X goals, home & away 2017-18 to 2021-22
Sports Betting: Table with Over Under goals probability calculations - Over - Austria Bundesliga - Rapid Vienna vs Altach 2023.02.19 Sports Betting: Table with Over Under goals probability calculations - Under - Austria Bundesliga - Rapid Vienna vs Altach 2023.02.19
Click on the image above to toggle manually between Over and Under calculations


Strategic Staking

In this example, we demonstrate selecting Value Bets using probabilities (the fourth column: Average) between 60% and 95%. We choose bets above Zero odds, within or outside the fair odds range.

This match got two Value Bets: Under 4.5 goals at 1.21 odds and Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 odds. By betting on both, we essentially wager on 3 or 4 match goals, acknowledging a 30% probability that one bet may lose.

To minimize loss, we adjust the stake so that losses are equal, regardless of which bet wins or loses.

In this case, both bets won, further proving the Cluster Tables as a valuable tool for bettors.


Gain the Winning Advantage

Unlock the power of Cluster Tables and elevate your sports betting prowess with our comprehensive “Fundamentals of Sports Betting” course book.

Delve into the science of football predictions, harnessing historical data to accurately predict over/under goals.

Expertly craft your own betting strategy, pinpointing value bets and utilising Cluster Tables like a seasoned professional.

Don’t miss this exclusive chance to unleash your full potential in the world of football betting. Secure your copy today and transform your betting experience.

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