German Bundesliga – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables


Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for the 2023-24 season

Maximise your German Bundesliga betting prowess with Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables.

These tables are skilled at identifying lucrative bet clusters and deciphering odds discrepancies, highlighting the ripple effects of odds alterations.

For example, the Bundesliga HDAFU tables hint at a reluctance to back home favourites up to odds of 1.78, with the profit/loss curve persistently hovering around zero, indicating that neither back nor lay bets hold value. However, from that point until odds reach 3.16, the curve nosedives, mirroring bettors’ tendency for higher odds and subsequent profit avenues for bookmakers.

Away underdogs, beginning at odds around 3.96, provide another opportunity for bookies to shave odds, resulting in a staggering 12,000-unit loss for bettors.

With high Betfair liquidity in the vibrant Bundesliga betting landscape, HDAFU Tables become essential.

Adopt the bookie’s mindset and refine your Bundesliga betting strategies with our precise, insight-filled HDAFU Tables.

Product Specification

1530 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 2.91 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses
    >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
German Bundesliga Calendar

Start Date: 18th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 20th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 13th January, 2024
Finish Date: 18th May, 2024

HDAFU Tables provide bettors with a strategic advantage, using historical data to identify value bet clusters, demystify bookmakers’ odds schemes, and illustrate the effect of odds fluctuations, fostering profitable betting choices.

Betting is not a gamble. With a well-calibrated system it’s a strategic plan of action.


Exploring Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, available in the German Bundesliga 1×2 HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), shed light on the complex landscape of betting.

They depict how profits turn into losses and back again, largely due to bookmakers’ strategic odds adjustment.

Bookmakers often inflate the probabilities of one outcome to balance the betting action, thereby deflating the odds for other outcomes, as the total probability must always sum to 100%.

With this understanding, bettors can explore these underrated and overrated odds clusters across various leagues to discover potential value bets.

P/L simulation curve: Bundesliga 1 Back favourite whole season by odds 2018-23


Decoding Bookmakers’ Tactics

Bookmaker odds are not just mathematical estimates but strategic devices shaped by the complex ebbs and flows of the betting market.

In this intricate dance, bookmakers fine-tune odds to maintain their profit margins, subtly influenced by public sentiment.

This shrewd strategy is laid bare in the P/L curves of Soccerwidow’s German Bundesliga HDAFU Tables, highlighting key moments where odds are manipulated to sway public betting trends.

By deciphering these tactics, astute punters can spot valuable opportunities, identifying over- and under-priced odds clusters unique to the German Bundesliga, and masterfully turn the odds to their benefit.


Exploring the Betting Topography

The HO/AO quotient is an underused yet potent tool in sports betting.

It is the ratio of Home Odds to Away Odds, a seemingly simple calculation that offers profound insight.

Instead of viewing odds independently, it creates a bridge between the two, providing the possibility to compare results by the strength of the opponents.

By bringing home and away odds into a singular context, it reveals a detailed picture of bookmakers’ odds manipulation tactics, serving as a vital compass to identify lucrative betting opportunities.

P/L simulation curve: German Bundesliga 1 Back underdog first half season by HO-AO 2018-23

Screenshot from the HDAFU Table: German Bundesliga 1 - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing favourite by HO-AO 2018-23 German Bundesliga 1 - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing favourite by HO-AO Profit-Loss 2018-23
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides


Profits from Defeats

The System Selector Tab projects a five-year profit/loss journey using various parameters. It provides insights into individual betting clusters.

Our example explores the favourite’s win backed by an HO/AO quotient between 0.8 and 2.5. This quotient equates to favourite odds between 1.75 and 3.0.

Backing this outcome over the past five years would have led to a significant loss.

Despite being the match favourite, the success rate was only 39%. The steadily declining P/L curve and loss distribution further illustrate this.

A savvy punter could leverage this information, laying the favourites in this cluster instead of backing them. This switch could raise the success rate to 61%, turning the tables in favour of the layer.


Winning Choices

The HDAFU Tables’ suggest that despite the bookies tendency to lower odds for home wins leading to overall losses, some exceptions emerge. Teams like Augsburg, Mönchengladbach, and Union Berlin, if consistently backed for home wins, would have generated profits.

Interestingly, placing bets on the home team when Bayern Munich, the ever-dominant force, is the away team would have returned a significant profit of 4,168 units over five seasons.

Conversely, betting on a draw or a Bayern Munich win in these games would have resulted in losses. This illustrates the punters’ clear bias towards Bayern Munich and the draw, providing bookmakers an opportunity to lower the odds and maximise their profits.

Through these insights, HDAFU Tables present a nuanced perspective of the German Bundesliga, enabling bettors to make more informed decisions based on specific team performances.

Players from the German Bundesliga with a ball in the air, looking a little bewildered. Match: Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich

Our product page offers mere glimpses of the monumental depth encompassed within the HDAFU Tables. Venturing further will reveal extensive layers of data, robust strategies, and league-specific patterns. These tables are your toolkit for an informed, strategic, and fruitful betting experience. Equipped with Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables, your betting journey can transform from a gamble to an informed decision.

Yet, as you delve deep and strategize, it’s paramount to always have responsible gambling as your compass.