Austria Bundesliga – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables



Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for the 2023-24 season

Advance your Austria Bundesliga betting prowess with Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables.

Delving into the heart of bookmaker odds manipulations, these tables shed light on the Austria Bundesliga’s shifting sands, illuminating clusters ripe for sharp wagering.

A deep dive into the ‘Backing the Home Win’ P/L curve: meandering initially until odds of 1.34, then it dives, reflecting a loss of 15,500 units, until odds of 4.4. This nosedive suggests Austrian bettors’ unwavering affinity for home wins. This predictable behaviour turns into a veritable goldmine for bookies, who tweak the odds slightly in their favour, especially in the 75% to 25% range, locking in their profits.

However, the journey gets intricate when examining the draws and away wins. The curves are multifaceted, hinting at the Austrians’ inclination to back home victories over away ones.

To align with victory in the Austrian Bundesliga betting arena, consider laying home wins across the season or embrace backing certain draws or away wins. Dive deep into this world with our astute HDAFU Tables and manoeuvre past the bookies’ ruses.

Product Specification

960 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 2.11 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses
    >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Austria Bundesliga Calendar

Start Date: 05th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 16th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 24th February, 2024
Finish Date: T.B.A.
The league splits into two groups after the 24th February, and until positions are finalized the fixture list going forwards won’t be published.

HDAFU Tables, as a strategic betting tool, analyse historical data to detect value bet clusters, unmask bookmakers’ odds strategies, and demonstrate the interplay of odds changes, fostering profitable betting decisions.

Deciphering odds isn’t a gamble, it’s cryptography. Break the code, reap the rewards.


Unfolding Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, showcased in the Austria Bundesliga HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), delve beyond the surface of the betting scene.

These curves reveal the swings in profit/loss, echoing the bookmakers’ strategic adjustments of odds to balance the bets.

The nature of these adjustments inherently means that when one outcome is over-, another is under-priced, as the total probabilities must equate to 100%.

This nuanced understanding allows bettors to dissect the 1×2 betting market and identify odds clusters that fit the required strategy, turning the game in their favour.


Market vs. Bookmaker

The world of bookmaker odds is an intricate ballet, balancing mathematical probabilities with market forces and tactical manoeuvres.

It’s not just a game of numbers; it’s a strategic dance between the betting market’s pull and the bookmakers’ push for profits.

Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables pierce through this dance, shedding light on the subtle manipulations employed to direct public betting habits.

With this vital insight, astute punters can pinpoint odds discrepancies specific to individual leagues.

Such knowledge empowers you to seize control of this dance, shifting the rhythm of the betting game firmly into your hands.


HO/AO Quotient Revealed

Delve into the intricacies of 1X2 betting, and you’ll soon recognise the invaluable nature of the HO/AO Quotient. Defined as “Home Odds divided by Away Odds”, this ratio serves as a crucial tool for punters.

In the traditional 1X2 betting framework, outcomes are divided into three potential categories.

However, the HO/AO quotient ingeniously simplifies this to a binary outlook.

Take, for instance, odds like 1.5, which could ambiguously relate to either home or away outcomes, causing potential ambiguities.

Yet, by implementing the HO/AO quotient, the P/L curve is constructed not based on odds but on the teams’ inherent strengths, facilitating a more refined and insightful analysis.

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Austria Bundesliga - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing away win by HO-AO 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Austria Bundesliga - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing away win by HO-AO 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides


Beyond Traditional Betting

The System Picker Tab provides a detailed view of a five-year profit/loss trajectory, shedding light on both promising and precarious back betting systems.

Consider this scenario: A strategy that can be profitable, but demands steely nerves. In the 2022-23 season, it might yield handsome profits, yet in 2020-21, it delivered a minor loss.

Such a strategy, which has a hit rate of only 43.06% and potential losing streaks (LLS) of up to eight consecutive losses, might be best executed using automated tools like MarketFeeder for trigger betting.

To illustrate, backing the Away Win in the season’s first half, when the HO AO Quotient ranges from 2.44 to 3.93 (with the away team as the favourite), offers potential.

Annually, about 30 matches may fit this profile, potentially leading to an ROI of roughly 50% — luck permitting, of course.


Austrian Insights

The HDAFU Tables shed light on intriguing patterns in the Austria Bundesliga. Surprisingly, home wins, which often seem tempting, have led to a collective loss of 14,734 units, with each team playing its part.

Yet, when one considers laying the home side, prospects brighten, especially with teams like Austria Vienna and Wolfsberger AC.

Meanwhile, draw bets are more profitable, amassing an overall gain of 9,582 units, although not evenly distributed among teams.

The real eye-opener is ‘Backing the Away Win’. Take TSV Hartberg, for instance. When they host, betting on their opponents often yields rewards. And this isn’t an isolated case.

Intrigued? Acquire your HDAFU Table and dive into these captivating trends.

Austrian Bundesliga players in the middle of a match. One of then fell in a funny position, having the ball between his legs.

The examples provided merely represent an entry point to the HDAFU Tables‘ comprehensive offerings. Beyond these initial insights, the tables host a spectrum of intricate strategies and tailored league analyses.

While Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables empower you with robust data, maintaining responsible gambling practices remains an essential aspect of successful betting.