Romania Liga 1 – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables 2023-24

£1.25

Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2023-24 Season

Explore the complexities of Romania’s Liga 1 betting trends with Soccerwidow’s archived HDAFU Tables.

These tables help identify profitable betting clusters, unravel biases in bookmakers’ odds, and demonstrate the effects of odds adjustments, providing historical context for strategic learning. The analysis reveals a Romanian trend of favouring draws at odds over 3.18, a strategy that resulted in a substantial loss of 17,000 units, benefiting bookmakers.

The HO AO graphs indicate that this pattern is most prominent when there’s a clear home favourite or when the favoured team is playing away. For informed bettors, steering clear of draws in these scenarios and considering a lay betting strategy may be prudent.

Furthermore, the second half’s ‘Backing Away Win’ trend at odds above 6.9 presents an intriguing anomaly. While this may tempt some punters into lay betting, it’s advisable to proceed with modest stakes.

With our HDAFU Tables, navigate past season’s betting intricacies in Romania’s Liga 1 with unparalleled insight.  

Product Specification
1473 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 3.3 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on: a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds) b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Romania Liga 1 Calendar 2023-24
Start Date: 14th July, 2023
1st Half Ends: 20th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 20th January, 2024
Finish Date: T.B.A.
The regular season does end on 09/03/24 but the league then splits and will eventually finish sometime in mid-May

Licensing for Educational and Personal Use
Our archived tables are offered at a symbolic price to enhance educational initiatives and expand learning opportunities.

For educators, a single license purchase authorizes use of our archived tables on multiple computers within one classroom, facilitating accessible and integrated learning. Individual users, however, are required to obtain a separate license for personal use.

We trust you to select the most appropriate licensing option for your needs. Please remember that the people behind Soccerwidow also appreciate being able to buy the occasional cup of coffee.

The knowledge, concepts, algorithms, and mathematical formulas derived from these tables are free to discuss and share under the CC BY-SA (Attribution-ShareAlike) license. This license allows for sharing and adapting these materials, provided that Soccerwidow is credited as the source and any derivative works are shared under the same terms.

HDAFU Tables, leveraging past data, locate value bet clusters, decipher bookmakers’ odds manipulation, and show the correlation of odds changes, offering bettors a foundation for profitable decision-making.

Unravel the bookmakers’ code, and instead of predicting outcomes, you’ll anticipate profit margins.

THE ROLE OF INFLECTION POINT CURVES

Deciphering Betting Trends

Inflection Point curves serve as a crucial tool for navigating the complex betting landscape.

Presented in the Romania Liga 1 HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), these curves identify key shifts where potential profits become losses and the other way round.

Such shifts arise when bookmakers tweak odds to ensure an even spread of bets across possible outcomes.

By manipulating public sentiment and adhering to the rule that probabilities must total 100%, they inadvertently create scenarios where some outcomes are priced too high or too low.

Informed bettors spot and exploit these odds discrepancies, which differ from one league to another.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Romania Liga 1 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by odds

DECODING MARKET-INFLUENCED BOOKMAKER ODDS

The Oddsmakers’ Rubik Cube

The crafting of bookmaker odds isn’t just about calculating probabilities, it’s a strategic balancing act influenced by the whirlpool of market dynamics.

Bookmakers deftly tweak odds to keep their books balanced and their profits secured.

This artful manipulation is vividly captured in Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables’ P/L curves, pinpointing instances of odds juggling.

With this clarity, insightful punters can find over- and under-priced odds clusters unique to each league, effectively gaming the system to their advantage.

NOVEL INSIGHTS INTO BETTING

Understanding the HO/AO Quotient

When exploring the realm of 1X2 betting, one will inevitably encounter the significance of the HO/AO Quotient.

At its core, this represents the division of “Home Odds by Away Odds”.

It serves as a pivotal tool for any budding bettor. Conventional 1X2 betting presents three outcomes to consider, but the HO/AO Quotient simplifies this landscape into a more digestible binary format.

Here’s a practical example: faced with Draw odds, like 3.2, you might ponder if these favour the home or away team.

With the guidance of the HO/AO Quotient, one can easily dissect P/L curves based on the true prowess of the contending teams, paving the way for more informed betting choices.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Romania Liga 1 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by HO-AO

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Romania Liga 1 - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing away win by odds 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Romania Liga 1 - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing away win by odds 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides

READING BETWEEN THE ODDS

Betting Dynamics

The System Picker Tab offers a detailed five-year profit/loss simulation.

A curious trend emerges in Romania Liga 1’s Away P/L curve over the past five years. A closer inspection reveals that ‘Backing the Away Win’ hovered around the break-even point until odds of 3.9, took a steep drop up to 5.35, and then returned to equilibrium.

While the 5.35 to 6.9 segment showed profits, it only had 143 matches spread sporadically across five years, with notable losses in 2018-19 and 2022-23.

Meanwhile, the 3.9 to 5.35 segment had 250 matches and witnessed escalating losses each season.

Oddsmakers seem under external pressures, potentially linked to the pandemic seasons. The away win percentage, typically steady, varied substantially over five years, ranging from 19.68% (2021-22) to 23.81% (2019-20)—a significant over 20% deviation.

ROMANIA LIGA 1 INSIGHTS

A Paradise for Layers

Dive into Romania Liga 1’s HDAFU Tables, and a clear pattern emerges.

Over half a decade, we’ve witnessed startling losses: home teams shed 5,301 units, draws 17,038 units, and away teams 6,191 units.

Even the favourites weren’t spared, with a loss of 443 units, and the underdogs? A staggering 11,049-unit drop.

This data suggests that the league is more suited for professional layers than conventional backers.

Intriguingly, there are teams that consistently underperform when backed.

The real eye-opener, however, lies in the Inflection Point graphs, indicating the potential goldmine in laying the draw, especially when distinguishing between season halves.

Romania Liga 1 - Rapid Bucharest v Universitatea Craiovia; two players from each team playing for the ball, in action

Our product page offers a brief overview, but the Romania Liga 1 HDAFU Tables’ true essence remains vast and expansive. Dig deeper to reveal a world of intricate strategies, enlightening nuances, and specific league patterns waiting to be leveraged.

As Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables elevate your betting game, it’s imperative to always intertwine your strategies with the golden threads of responsible gambling.