Swiss Super League – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables 2023-24

£1.20

Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2023-24 Season

Delve into the Swiss Super League’s past betting landscape with Soccerwidow’s archived HDAFU Tables.

These tables pinpoint valuable betting clusters, decode bookmakers’ skewed odds, and illustrate the impact of odds adjustments — offering historical insights for strategic learning.

Analysis of past seasons uncovered peculiar patterns. Choosing home wins at odds above 1.96 led to a loss of 8,017 units, a scenario bookmakers exploited. Conversely, a profitable trend emerged from backing draws at odds around 3.75, a move often overlooked by Swiss bettors known for their fiscal caution.

Further insights showed the ‘Away Win’ trend remained dormant until odds hit 3.5, then dropped sharply, reflecting an over 10,000-unit loss. This suggests that Swiss punters historically embraced higher risks, diverging from their typically cautious reputation.

Explore the Swiss Super League’s complex betting trends with our comprehensive HDAFU Tables for a retrospective strategic advantage.
 

Product Specification

899 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 2.44 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses
    >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Swiss Super League Calendar 2023-24

Start Date: 05th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 16th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 20th January, 2024
Finish Date: T.B.A.
The league splits into two groups after the 20th January, and until positions are finalized the fixture list going forwards won’t be published.

Licensing for Educational and Personal Use
Our archived tables are offered at a symbolic price to enhance educational initiatives and expand learning opportunities.

For educators, a single license purchase authorizes use of our archived tables on multiple computers within one classroom, facilitating accessible and integrated learning. Individual users, however, are required to obtain a separate license for personal use.

We trust you to select the most appropriate licensing option for your needs. Please remember that the people behind Soccerwidow also appreciate being able to buy the occasional cup of coffee.

The knowledge, concepts, algorithms, and mathematical formulas derived from these tables are free to discuss and share under the CC BY-SA (Attribution-ShareAlike) license. This license allows for sharing and adapting these materials, provided that Soccerwidow is credited as the source and any derivative works are shared under the same terms.

HDAFU Tables are a betting assistant, utilizing historical data to spot value bet clusters, reveal bookmakers’ odds schemes, and demonstrate the interplay of odds changes, guiding bettors towards profitable selections.

The beauty of Soccerwidow’s 1×2 HDAFU Tables? By understanding odd patterns, you’ll be playing the market, not the game.

PROBING INTO THE BETTING PSYCHE

Interpreting Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, housed in the Swiss Super League HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), offer an incisive probe into the psyche of bookmaker odds-setting.

They highlight the turning points in profit/loss trends, mirroring bookmakers’ odds manipulation to balance bets.

This process inevitably leads to overrated and underrated outcomes, as the total probabilities must add up to 100%.

Bettors can use this insight to interpret the odds, finding under- and over-priced odds clusters that vary across leagues.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Swiss Super League 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by odds

DECIPHERING MARKET INFLUENCES ON BOOKMAKER ODDS

The Odds Enigma Unlocked

Bookmaker odds are not just statistical probabilities; they’re strategic decisions shaped by the push and pull of market dynamics.

With an aim to balance their books and secure profit, bookmakers cleverly manipulate odds, often swayed by the winds of public sentiment.

The Swiss Super League HDAFU Tables provide a detailed look at this sophisticated manoeuvring through P/L curves, exposing instances of strategic odds tweaking.

Armed with this knowledge, discerning punters can detect over- and under-priced odds clusters unique to each league, effectively flipping the odds in their favour.

DECIPHERING BETTING METRICS

The HO/AO Quotient Explained

Navigate the intricacies of 1X2 betting, and you’ll soon realise the pivotal role of the HO/AO Quotient.

Denoting the division of “Home Odds by Away Odds”, this metric becomes indispensable for bettors.

While 1X2 betting encapsulates three potential outcomes, the HO/AO Quotient reduces this to a clearer binary perspective.

For instance, Draw odds, such as 3.75, can be misleading, as they may be linked to either a home or away favourite.

By deploying the HO/AO Quotient, one can discern P/L curves based on the genuine strengths of competing teams, leading to more accurate P/L curve evaluations.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Switzerland Super League 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by HO-AO

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Switzerland Premier League - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing the draw by HO-AO 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Swiss Premier League - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing the draw by HO-AO 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides

FROM DATA TO STRATEGY

Systemic Insight

The System Picker Tab delves into a five-year betting trajectory, shedding light on profitable and risky back betting systems. Through tailored filters – bet type, season, and post-Inflection Point graph analysis – it enhances decision-making.

Considering Backing the Draw throughout a season, using the HO AO Quotient range of 0.374 to 0.678, we pinpoint matches where the home side is the favourite, with away odds between 3.75 and 4.14.

Opting for this strategy on all 235 matches that fit this criteria over the past five seasons would have yielded a remarkable 10,205 units.

Yet, it’s not without risks: a hit rate of just 37.87% and streaks of up to nine consecutive losses. Meanwhile, a four-match winning streak occurred only four times in this period.

However, to safeguard yourself from the rollercoaster of your own emotions, Soccerwidow recommends using a bot for this pick or sticking to a paper exercise only.

THE SWISS SUPER LEAGUE BETTING LANDSCAPE EXPLORED

Young Boys’ Paradox

In picturesque Switzerland, those who consistently backed their team to win at home would have accrued a collective deficit of 8,117 units over five years. Only supporters of the Young Boys would have ended up with a profit, precisely 1,189 units.

Over 90 matches involving the Young Boys, each home win backed with 100 units, amounted to total stakes of 9,000 units, securing a profit of 1,189 units at the close (Yield 13.2%).

However, the Young Boys didn’t bring joy to their fans when playing away. In that scenario, die-hard supporters who backed their team would have suffered a loss of 1,563 units.

Continuing with the Young Boys as an example: when they played at home and if one had backed the away team, the losses would have mounted to 6,145 units. An intriguing figure, indeed.

Losses from backing suggest potential gains from laying, don’t they?

The ‘Backing by Team’ tab offers much to explore, and it’s not just about the Young Boys.

Goalkeeper David Von Ballmoos of Young Boys in action: Picture taken from the back. The goalkeeper is jumping in the air with both legs spread wide apart.

The insights presented here are just the tip of the iceberg when considering the Swiss Super League HDAFU Tables‘ capabilities. A closer look reveals a treasure trove of strategies, detailed analyses, and league-specific insights.

As you explore and strategize using Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables, upholding responsible gambling practices is paramount.