Turkey Süper Lig – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables 2023-24

$ 1.75

Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2023-24 Season

Explore the dynamics of Turkey’s Süper Lig betting trends with Soccerwidow’s archival HDAFU Tables for the 2023-24 season.

While not current for live betting, these tables serve as a valuable resource for back testing and understanding past market behaviours.

One notable trend observed is the Turkish fans’ preference for Away Wins, which led to a significant loss of over 15,000 units. Bookmakers, recognising this bias, strategically adjusted their odds to capitalise on it.

The tendency to ‘Back the Underdog’ diminishes after odds of 3.05, highlighting bettors’ attraction to the lure of substantial wins and bookies’ skill in exploiting this propensity for higher risks.

In summary, these tables reveal that Süper Lig fans are inclined towards higher odds, indicating a willingness to undertake greater risks. For astute punters, this historical data suggests that counter-betting against such odds in past seasons could have been a prudent strategy.
 

Product Specification

1725 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 3.18 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses
    >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Turkey Süper Lig Calendar 2023-24

Start Date: 13th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 24th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 07th January, 2024
Finish Date: 19th May, 2024

Licensing for Educational and Personal Use
Our archived tables are offered at a symbolic price to enhance educational initiatives and expand learning opportunities.

For educators, a single license purchase authorizes use of our archived tables on multiple computers within one classroom, facilitating accessible and integrated learning. Individual users, however, are required to obtain a separate license for personal use.

We trust you to select the most appropriate licensing option for your needs. Please remember that the people behind Soccerwidow also appreciate being able to buy the occasional cup of coffee.

The knowledge, concepts, algorithms, and mathematical formulas derived from these tables are free to discuss and share under the CC BY-SA (Attribution-ShareAlike) license. This license allows for sharing and adapting these materials, provided that Soccerwidow is credited as the source and any derivative works are shared under the same terms.

Utilising historical data, the HDAFU Tables illuminate favoured bet clusters, decipher bookmakers’ strategies behind these enticing odds, and detail the intricacies of odds fluctuations, guiding punters towards well-informed choices in the ever-shifting betting landscape.

The game is unpredictable; the market patterns aren’t. HDAFU unveils the bookie’s playbook.

UNRAVELLING THE ODDS ENIGMA

Decoding Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, found in the Turkey Süper Lig HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), allow bettors to unravel the enigma of betting odds.

They mark the pivot points in profit/loss curves, a testament to bookmakers’ odds adjustment tactics to balance their bets.

An overrated outcome directly results in an underrated one, as probabilities must total 100%.

This understanding empowers bettors to decode the betting enigma, spotting under- and over-priced odds clusters that are distinct to each league.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Turkey Süper Lig 2018-23 - Backing the underdog - whole season - by odds

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Turkey Süper Lig 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by odds

MARKET FORCES AND THEIR IMPACT ON BOOKMAKER ODDS

Market Dynamics and Bookmaker Tactics

Bookmaker odds aren’t simply numbers on a screen; they’re well-thought-out strategies moulded by the currents of market dynamics.

Bookmakers masterfully navigate these currents, adjusting their odds to maintain a balanced book and preserve their profit margins.

Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables chart this journey through their P/L curves, uncovering key moments when bookmakers have adjusted the odds.

Equipped with this understanding, astute punters can identify overpriced- and under-priced odds clusters unique to each league, using the currents to sail towards profitable betting.

THE PIVOTAL ROLE OF THE HO/AO QUOTIENT

Empowering the Punter

Understanding the HO/AO quotient, which calculates the ratio of home odds to away odds, is crucial for punters in pursuit of an enhanced betting edge.

This unique metric contextualises odds, spotlighting the intrinsic connection between home and away odds.

Instead of navigating odds in a vacuum, the HO/AO quotient empowers punters with the insight to differentiate between home and away favourites or underdogs and decode bookmakers’ tactics.

Equipped with this nuanced understanding, punters can place more informed bets, tilting the scales in their favour.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Turkey Süper Lig 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by HO-AO

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Turkey Süper Lig - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing the draw by HO-AO 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Turkey Süper Lig - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing the draw by HO-AO 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides

TRANSFORMING BETTING STRATEGY

The System Picker Perspective

The System Picker Tab projects a five-year profit/loss trajectory, providing vital insight into both profitable and less beneficial back betting systems.

This dynamic tool permits filtering by bet type, season, and post-Inflection Point graph evaluation.

Turkey Süper Lig’s ‘Backing the Draw’ during the entire season, and using the HO AO Quotient range of 0.001 to 0.384 as an example: this HO AO segment represents the extremely strong home favourites with draw odds of 3.8 or more.

Over the past five years, 415 matches met this criterion. Punters who backed the draw in these would have faced a 6,424-unit loss.

The most extended losing streak (LLS) reached 25 losses, occurring twice. The success rate stood at 19.04%.

Thus, bettors unafraid of laying at higher odds might contemplate laying the draw when the strong favourite is home-based.

HARNESSING HDAFU’S COMPREHENSIVE INSIGHTS

Decoding Turkey’s Draws

The HDAFU Tables, centred on the Turkey Süper League, present an intricate look at betting strategies.

We focused in the previous paragraph on ‘Backing the Draw’ for favourites within a specific HO AO Cluster.

However, teams like Konyaspor and Sivasspor stand out. Interestingly, for these teams, the real value emerges in backing the draw when they play at home and not in laying.

This nuance underscores the importance of a multifaceted approach; it’s not just about viewing data from one angle but exploring all its facets.

The ‘Backing by Team’ tab in the Turkey Süper Lig HDAFU Tables further elaborates on this.

Remember, a robust system demands a holistic view. Dive deep into the data, make informed decisions, and may fortune favour you.

Turkey Super Lig - Gazientep v Fenerbahce; players in front of a goal, jumping into the air, the goalkeeper catching the ball above the head of his opponent

The insights on this page are a fraction of what the Turkey Süper Lig HDAFU Tables encompass. Delving deeper unveils a realm of strategic depth and league-specific nuances ready for exploration.

While Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables serve as a tool for informed betting, the importance of responsible gambling cannot be overstated.