Turkey Süper Lig – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables


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Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for the 2023-24 season

Discover the intricacies of Turkey’s Süper Lig betting patterns with Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables.

Expertly crafted, these tables pinpoint areas for value bets, break down the rationale behind bookmakers’ odds, and chronicle the fluctuation of odds over time.

One standout observation is the Turkish fans’ lean towards Away Wins. This trend has culminated in a stark loss of over 15,000 units. Recognising this, bookmakers adeptly adjust their odds to benefit from this trend.

Similarly, the ‘Backing the Underdog’ tendency reveals a marked decline after odds of 3.05. This uncovers punters’ draw to the possibility of grand wins and the bookies’ expertise in leveraging this increased risk-taking.

In essence, Süper Lig enthusiasts showcase a penchant for higher odds, signalling a readiness to embrace more substantial risks. For discerning punters, this offers an insight: counter-betting on these high odds in the league might well be a savvy move.

Product Specification

1725 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 3.18 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses
    >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Turkey Süper Lig Calendar

Start Date: 13th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 24th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 07th January, 2024
Finish Date: 19th May, 2024

Utilising historical data, the HDAFU Tables illuminate favoured bet clusters, decipher bookmakers’ strategies behind these enticing odds, and detail the intricacies of odds fluctuations, guiding punters towards well-informed choices in the ever-shifting betting landscape.

The game is unpredictable; the market patterns aren’t. HDAFU unveils the bookie’s playbook.


Decoding Inflection Points

Inflection Point graphs, found in the Turkey Süper Lig HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), allow bettors to unravel the enigma of betting odds.

They mark the pivot points in profit/loss curves, a testament to bookmakers’ odds adjustment tactics to balance their bets.

An overrated outcome directly results in an underrated one, as probabilities must total 100%.

This understanding empowers bettors to decode the betting enigma, spotting under- and over-priced odds clusters that are distinct to each league.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Turkey Süper Lig 2018-23 - Backing the underdog - whole season - by odds

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Turkey Süper Lig 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by odds


Market Dynamics and Bookmaker Tactics

Bookmaker odds aren’t simply numbers on a screen; they’re well-thought-out strategies moulded by the currents of market dynamics.

Bookmakers masterfully navigate these currents, adjusting their odds to maintain a balanced book and preserve their profit margins.

Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables chart this journey through their P/L curves, uncovering key moments when bookmakers have adjusted the odds.

Equipped with this understanding, astute punters can identify overpriced- and under-priced odds clusters unique to each league, using the currents to sail towards profitable betting.


Empowering the Punter

Understanding the HO/AO quotient, which calculates the ratio of home odds to away odds, is crucial for punters in pursuit of an enhanced betting edge.

This unique metric contextualises odds, spotlighting the intrinsic connection between home and away odds.

Instead of navigating odds in a vacuum, the HO/AO quotient empowers punters with the insight to differentiate between home and away favourites or underdogs and decode bookmakers’ tactics.

Equipped with this nuanced understanding, punters can place more informed bets, tilting the scales in their favour.

P/L simulation curve from the 1X2 HDAFU Tables: Turkey Süper Lig 2018-23 - Backing the draw - whole season - by HO-AO

Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Turkey Süper Lig - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing the draw by HO-AO 2018-23 Screenshot from the 1x2 HDAFU P/L Simulation Betting Table: Turkey Süper Lig - System Picker Tab - whole season - backing the draw by HO-AO 2018-23 Profit-Loss
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides


The System Picker Perspective

The System Picker Tab projects a five-year profit/loss trajectory, providing vital insight into both profitable and less beneficial back betting systems.

This dynamic tool permits filtering by bet type, season, and post-Inflection Point graph evaluation.

Turkey Süper Lig’s ‘Backing the Draw’ during the entire season, and using the HO AO Quotient range of 0.001 to 0.384 as an example: this HO AO segment represents the extremely strong home favourites with draw odds of 3.8 or more.

Over the past five years, 415 matches met this criterion. Punters who backed the draw in these would have faced a 6,424-unit loss.

The most extended losing streak (LLS) reached 25 losses, occurring twice. The success rate stood at 19.04%.

Thus, bettors unafraid of laying at higher odds might contemplate laying the draw when the strong favourite is home-based.


Decoding Turkey’s Draws

The HDAFU Tables, centred on the Turkey Süper League, present an intricate look at betting strategies.

We focused in the previous paragraph on ‘Backing the Draw’ for favourites within a specific HO AO Cluster.

However, teams like Konyaspor and Sivasspor stand out. Interestingly, for these teams, the real value emerges in backing the draw when they play at home and not in laying.

This nuance underscores the importance of a multifaceted approach; it’s not just about viewing data from one angle but exploring all its facets.

The ‘Backing by Team’ tab in the Turkey Süper Lig HDAFU Tables further elaborates on this.

Remember, a robust system demands a holistic view. Dive deep into the data, make informed decisions, and may fortune favour you.

Turkey Super Lig - Gazientep v Fenerbahce; players in front of a goal, jumping into the air, the goalkeeper catching the ball above the head of his opponent

The insights on this page are a fraction of what the Turkey Süper Lig HDAFU Tables encompass. Delving deeper unveils a realm of strategic depth and league-specific nuances ready for exploration.

While Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables serve as a tool for informed betting, the importance of responsible gambling cannot be overstated.