Swiss Super League Cluster Tables



Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Cluster Tables
Valid for the 2023-24 season

FT Over/Under markets between 0.5 & 6.5 Goals
HT Over/Under markets between 0.5 & 2.5 Goals

Plunge into the high-octane world of Switzerland’s Super League with our smart Cluster Tables – your secret toolkit for demystifying goal data and computing accurate odds.

The league boasts an average of around 3 goals per game, and in 80% of matches, both teams score, making it perfect for Over/Under goal betting.

Our Cluster Tables unveil hidden patterns, empowering you to predict goal frequencies and carry out computations of probabilities and Zero-Odds.

Unearth strategies, seize value, and metamorphose your betting from mere conjecture to an exhilarating, data-driven pursuit. With the Super League and our Cluster Tables, you’re not just a spectator, but a savvy punter piloting your own prosperous betting journey.

Should you not know: >>> What is a Cluster Table? <<<

With your purchase, you will also receive the Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Cluster Tables for the 2022-23 season, allowing you to backtest your strategies. Please note that there was a major upgrade this season, and the layout of the previous tables may appear a little outdated.

Product Specification
Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Table (900 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xls, 410 kB)

  • In conjunction with the Fundamentals of Sports Betting Course
  • 6 teams with 5 seasons of data: Basel, Lugano, Luzern, St. Gallen, Young Boys, Zurich
  • 51 games out of 228 = 22.37% of all 2023-24 games available for betting
Swiss Super League Calendar
strong>Start Date: 05th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 16th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 20th January, 2024
Finish Date: T.B.A.
The league splits into two groups after the 20th January, and until positions are finalized the fixture list going forwards won’t be published.

Cluster Tables are a valuable resource for those looking to make strategic bets in the Over/Under goals market. They help bettors to calculate probabilities and Zero-Odds for goal bets, enabling value detection by comparing market prices to true odds.

Want to fully understand Cluster Tables and how to apply them? Get our Fundamentals of Sports Betting course book.

A bettor’s intuition, guided by the light of statistics, can illuminate the path to success in a world of uncertainty.


The Round-Robin Effect

The Swiss Super League’s round-robin format, in which each team plays the other teams four times per season, provides a highly competitive and balanced environment for football.

This leads to more draws and a tighter point spread among teams, making it an attractive option for betting on Over/Under goals.

With an average of 2.87 goals per match in the 2022-23 season, 1.56 home goals and 1.31 away goals, this format contributes to high-scoring matches, as teams play each other over a shorter period.

Ricardo Rodriguez, football player of Switzerland, in a position in mid air with ball
Ricardo Rodriguez of Switzerland

Graph of Goal Distribution - Swiss Super League - 2017-18 to 2021-22


Scoring Surge

The goal distribution in the Swiss Super League has displayed fascinating trends in recent years.

While the away goals average has remained stable, there has been a slight rise in the average goal numbers and home goals average.

But what’s most significant is the increase in high-scoring games, with over 2.5 goals scored in 62% of matches during the 2021-22 season. Simultaneously, the proportion of games with under 2.5 goals has steadily decreased, indicating fewer low-scoring games.

The Swiss Super League appears to have become a more thrilling and goal-filled competition in the last decade.


The Hidden Advantage

The Swiss Super League and Danish league have a unique format where each team plays the other teams four times per season. This leads to more balance and is demonstrated in the graph showcasing the goal counts for Basel’s matches at home versus away.

Looking specifically at Over 2.5 goals, Basel’s home matches have a 61.9% chance of finishing with O 2.5 goals, while their away matches have a 57.8% chance. Translating this into odds, a fair price for an O 2.5 bet with Basel playing at home should be around 1.62 (8/13), while for an away match, it should be around 1.73 (8/11).

This information is essential when assessing whether the odds are fair.

Graph: Swiss Super League, Basel - Distribution Over X goals, home & away 2017-18 to 2021-22 Graph: Swiss Super League, Basel - Zero Odds Over X goals, home & away 2017-18 to 2021-22
Table with Over Under goals probability calculations - Over - Switzerland Super League - St. Gallen vs Zurich 2023.04.02 Table with Over Under goals probability calculations - Under - Switzerland Super League - St. Gallen vs Zurich 2023.04.02
Click on the image above to toggle manually between Over and Under calculations


Calculated Risks

In this example, we demonstrate selecting Value Bets with 60-95% probabilities (fourth column: Average) and odds above zero, regardless of their position within or outside the fair odds range.

This match had six betting candidates within our selected probability range: Under 3.5, Under 4.5, Under 4.5, Under 6.5, Over 0.5, and Over 1.5. Unfortunately, all odds were either exactly Zero-odds or below them, although most were within the expected probability range.

We picked the U4.5 bet with odds at 1.22 and an 81.9% probability to win, just to have a pick for this match but the odds were exact Zero-odds.

The bet won, but we wouldn’t have been surprised if not, as O4.5 had an 18.1% probability, far from zero.


Statistics Win

Ready to turn your love of sports into profit? Our comprehensive course book, “Fundamentals of Sports Betting“, teaches you how to harness the power of statistics to calculate odds, identify value bets, and maximise your profits.

With the expert use of Cluster Tables, you can effectively compare fair odds with market odds and make well-informed decisions.

Don’t be deceived by odds – they’re simply prices for bets based on probability. Master the art of sports betting, and let statistics pave your way to victory.

Secure your copy today and transform your betting game!

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