Italy Serie A – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables


Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for the 2023-24 season

Embark on your Italy Serie A betting expedition with Soccerwidow’s HDAFU tables.

These tables unmask the shifting currents of value bets, unravel bookmakers’ biases, and elucidate the ripple effect in odds adjustments, thereby spotlighting potential betting treasures.

Serie A’s HDAFU tables expose a distinct home bias, with potential value hidden in Draw clusters. Interestingly, the Away curve meanders around zero, indifferent to favourites or underdogs. In this unpredictable market, employing laying strategies can offer substantial value.

With robust liquidity on Betfair, HDAFU tables prove vital for navigating Serie A’s dynamic betting tides.

Dive into the exhilarating arena of Italy Serie A betting with our painstakingly crafted HDAFU tables, brimming with precision and profound insights.

Product Specification

1900 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 3.42 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on:
    a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds)
    b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Italy Serie A Calendar

Start Date: 19th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 07th January, 2024

2nd Half starts: 14th January, 2024
Finish Date: 26th May, 2024

HDAFU Tables analyse historical data to highlight value bet clusters, expose bookmakers’ odds manipulation strategies, and depict how odds alterations affect outcomes, providing bettors with a foundation for informed decision-making.

Crack the code of odds, and you unlock a secret language. The language of profit.


Inflection Point Curves

Inflection Point curves are instrumental in understanding the volatile world of betting.

These curves, depicted in your Italy Serie A HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), highlight pivotal moments where profits turn to losses and vice versa.

This fluctuation is a result of bookmakers strategically adjusting odds to maintain balanced action across all outcomes.

They exploit public opinion and play with probabilities, which must add to 100%. As a result, if one outcome is overvalued, another is undervalued.

Savvy bettors can capitalize on these under-priced and over-priced odds clusters, which vary by league.

P/L simulation graph: Italy Serie A 2018-23 - Backing the Favourite Home & Away by favourite odds

P/L simulation graph: Italy Serie A 2018-23 - Backing the home win whole season


Navigating Market Currents

The bookmakers’ odds are not merely probability forecasts, but cunning strategies shaped by market currents.

The odds-making process is a nuanced ballet, constantly adjusting to protect the bookmaker’s bottom line.

Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables provide an x-ray view of this ballet, highlighting critical junctures where odds are manipulated to guide public betting.

Equipped with this insight, savvy punters can spot league-specific over- and under-priced odds clusters, turning the bookmaker’s craft to their advantage and tilting the betting field in their favour.


Why the HO/AO Quotient Matters

The betting landscape may appear daunting, but tools like the HO/AO quotient can make the journey smoother.

By calculating the ratio of home odds to away odds, it creates a standardised measure, facilitating comparisons across time and team barriers.

This universality brings into focus the trends that prevail in the odds, empowering bettors to draw insights from a historically broader canvas.

P/L simulation graph: Italy Serie A 2018-23 - Backing the away win - second half - by HA AO Quotient

Example calculation - simulation P/L - Italy Serie A 2018-23 - System Picker Tab - 1st half season - backing home


Exploring Laying Strategies

The System Picker Tab forecasts a five-year profit/loss journey, offering valuable insights into both lucrative and disadvantageous back betting systems.

This versatile tool allows for filters by bet type, season, and analysis type post-Inflection Point graph evaluation.

Imagine being an avid Italy Serie A enthusiast who enjoys tracking home team victories. You might contemplate a laying strategy for home team odds exceeding 3.0.

As the attached image illustrates, backing this outcome in the last five years would have culminated in a substantial loss of 12,372 units, averaging 2,474 units per season. Despite your Longest Winning Streak (LWS) peaking at a solitary victory, your Longest Losing Streak (LLS) extended to an unbroken 41 losses.

Why not flip the script and lay the home teams instead?


Serie A’s Unexpected Rewards

Dive into the Italy Serie A’s nuanced betting terrain with HDAFU Tables. While backing all home wins with a 100-unit stake over the past five seasons would have led to a staggering 21,027-unit loss, the draw scenario presents a different narrative.

Backing all draws resulted in a less daunting loss of 3,166 units, hinting at bookmakers balancing the odds reduced for home teams.

Certain teams, however, tell a more optimistic tale – Atalanta and Napoli secured 5,347 and 3,318-unit profits over five seasons, respectively.

Yet, last season’s home draws for Napoli dipped to an 838-unit loss, suggesting the ‘Backing by Team’ tab deserves thorough exploration.

Despite the seeming hurdles, the detailed analysis reveals some hidden gold in the Italy Serie A’s betting landscape.

The examples provided on this page are merely an introduction to the richness of Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables. Venture further to find hidden layers of data, distinct strategies, and enlightening nuances. Each league is a puzzle waiting to be solved. Arm yourself with the HDAFU Tables, transform insights into action, and redefine success.

But always, amidst this quest, maintain the cornerstone of responsible betting.