Cluster Tables are a valuable resource for those looking to make strategic bets in the Over/Under goals market. They help bettors to calculate probabilities and Zero-Odds for goal bets, enabling value detection by comparing market prices to true odds.
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CLOSE STANDINGS, TACTICAL PLAY
Goal Scarcity
Ligue 2 is one of Europe’s lowest-scoring leagues, with an average of under two goals per game.
This is largely due to the strong defensive play and tactical style employed by many teams.
The league is also known for its close standings, with many teams bunched closely together, making for an unpredictable betting experience with many upsets and unexpected outcomes.
Overall, Ligue 2 offers a unique statistical profile that sets it apart from other professional leagues.
THE BATTLE AGAINST LOW SCORES
The 2.5 Goal Ceiling
Over the past four seasons of France Ligue 2, approximately 60% of matches finished with under 2.5 goals, a trend consistent with the ongoing 2022-2023 season.
The total goals curve of the previous and current seasons shows two peaks:
In the 2018-19 and 2019-20 (Covid) seasons, the curve peaked at 1 goal per match (around 25% of all matches)
The other three seasons, the curves peaked at 2 goals per match with approximately 27% of all matches.
THE HIDDEN PATTERNS
From Losses to Profits
Imagine being able to predict the outcome of football matches before they happen. You’d be rolling in cash, right? Well, not necessarily.
If you’d placed bets on all Under 2.5 goals in the France Ligue 2 over the past five years, you would have lost a whopping 3000 units.
However, if you’d bet on matches with odds from 1.64 to 1.73, you’d have made a profit of almost 4000 units.
Intrigued? You can explore this data yourself with our Cluster Tables, which feature a range of eye-opening graphs that visualize profit/loss curves for different betting strategies.
CLUSTER TABLES: TRANSFORM YOUR BETTING
Data-Driven Approach
In this example, we demonstrate selecting Value Bets using probabilities between 60% and 95% (the fourth column: Average). We choose bets with odds above zero, regardless of their position within the fair odds range.
This match had two Value Bets: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 odds, and Over 1.5 goals at 1.44. O1.5 was within the fair odds range and above the Zero odds, while O0.5 was exactly at Zero odds. We decided to take both bets.
All other Over bets were also good Value Bets with odds in favour of the bettor, but with lower probabilities to win. Approximately 60% of Ligue 2 matches finish with under 2.5 goals, so inflated odds for Over bets might be a regular occurrence as the public likely prefers betting on Unders.
Both bets won, but we wouldn’t have been surprised by a loss.
FOOTBALL BETTING MASTERCLASS
Predict with Finesse
Immerse yourself in the world of Cluster Tables and learn to expertly predict goals, accurately calculate odds, and uncover high-value bets in the thrilling realm of football betting.
Empower yourself with this essential knowledge to make informed decisions, boosting your chances of success.
Elevate your football betting skills to unprecedented heights and bet with unwavering confidence. Let us unravel the enigmatic secrets of football betting, one step at a time.
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