As a unique betting aid, EPL Betting HDAFU Tables study past data to detect value bet clusters, expose bookmakers’ odds manipulation, and highlight the correlation between odds changes, assisting in the identification of profitable betting strategies.
Bookmakers don’t gamble – they have a system. Emulate their approach, beat them at their own game.
THE SECRET OF PRECISION BETTING
Inflection Point Curves
In betting, inflection points indicate turning points in profit/loss curves and various Inflection Point graphs are to be found within the HDAFU Tables.
Bookmakers set odds to balance action on both sides of a bet, adjusting them based on public opinion.
Probabilities must total 100%, so if one site is overrated, the other is likely underrated.
Bettors can use this knowledge to find under-priced and over-priced odds clusters, which, of course, vary by league.
MARKET INFLUENCES BOOKMAKER ODDS
Value in Underdogs
In the EPL, bookmakers face significant pressure from the market as bettors often prefer to bet on big-name teams with a clear home advantage.
While bookmakers do consider factors like team form and injuries, their priority is to balance their books and guarantee profit by adjusting odds to attract equal money on all outcomes.
As a result, odds may not always accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome.
A KEY BETTTING TOOL
HO/AO Quotient
The HO/AO quotient is crucial when betting on football, especially for matches like those in the EPL who have a clear home advantage.
This measure of relative strength is calculated by dividing the Home Odds by the Away Odds, and can be used to compare upcoming matches with past games against teams of similar perceived strength.
It provides insight into a team’s likelihood of success, taking into account their home advantage and recent form.
UNCOVER WINNING STRATEGIES WITH EASE
Find Your System
The System Picker Tab simulates five-year profit/loss to identify successful betting systems. It allows filtering by HDAFU bet type, season, and analysis type after Inflection Point graph analysis.
The assumption is that if a system has worked over the past five years, it is likely to continue working in the upcoming season.
The results include the Longest Winning Streak (LWS) and the Longest Losing Streak (LLS) within the data set. It provides you with the average profit/loss per season, the expected hit rate, the Zero odds, among other details.
This tab also features curves that simulate the profit/loss trajectory of your selected cluster over a five-year span, displaying the profit/loss by season and providing the numerical data. Plus, there’s a great deal more to discover.
PUBLISHED VS. TRUE ODDS
Hidden Value
Did you know that in the EPL, some teams like Leicester and Tottenham tend to be undervalued by the public, causing bookmakers to adjust their odds in the bettors’ favour?
For instance, in the 2021-22 season, the average home odds offered for Leicester were 2.45, despite their true odds being around 1.9.
Similarly, the average bookmaker odds for Tottenham playing at home were 1.93, while their expected odds were around 1.46.
This presents an opportunity for EPL betting, as astute bettors can capitalize on the disparity between public opinion and the actual expected outcomes.
The insights shared here are but a glimpse into the HDAFU Tables’ depth. Dive beyond these examples to uncover more layers, strategies, and nuances. Every league hides untapped potential. With Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables, you’re prepared to discover, strategize, and profit. Venture forth and redefine your betting narrative.
However, as you navigate this intricate landscape, it’s paramount to ensure your betting habits remain responsible and grounded.