Netherland Eredivisie – HDAFU 1×2 Simulation Tables 2023-24

£1.20

Full-Time 1X2 HDAFU Betting Table (XLXS)
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2023-24 Season

Refine your approach to betting with Soccerwidow’s archived HDAFU Tables.

These tables are ideal for back testing and educational purposes, elucidating the complexities of various betting markets and uncovering patterns not readily apparent in real-time betting scenarios.

Historically, the Eredivisie HDAFU tables revealed a pattern in the first half of the season where fans typically avoided backing the obvious home favourites up to odds of 1.81, with the profit/loss curve hovering near zero.

In contrast, from odds starting at 1.91 in the second half, the curve shifted upward, indicating a significant change in supporters’ betting preferences away from home wins.

This trend was further accentuated by adjustments in the away win odds, particularly later in the season, demonstrating bookmakers’ expertise in balancing their books.  

Product Specification
1456 Game Analysis 2018-23, Excel .xlsx, 2.81 MB

  • Whole of Season and First and Second Halves of Season Analyses >> Go here to see why separate first-half and second-half season analyses are revealing!
  • Separate Inflection Point analyses based on: a) HO/AO Quotient (home odds divided by away odds) b) Odds (home, draw, away, favourite and underdog)
  • Whole of Season Analysis by Team (including five seasons break down)
  • Stake, Betting Exchange Commission and Odds Toggle features
Netherland Eredivisie Calendar 2023-24
Start Date: 11th August, 2023
1st Half Ends: 17th December, 2023

2nd Half starts: 12th January, 2024
Finish Date: 19th May, 2024

Licensing for Educational and Personal Use
Our archived tables are offered at a symbolic price to enhance educational initiatives and expand learning opportunities.

For educators, a single license purchase authorizes use of our archived tables on multiple computers within one classroom, facilitating accessible and integrated learning. Individual users, however, are required to obtain a separate license for personal use. We trust you to select the most appropriate licensing option for your needs.

Please remember that the people behind Soccerwidow also appreciate being able to buy the occasional cup of coffee.

The knowledge, concepts, algorithms, and mathematical formulas derived from these tables are free to discuss and share under the CC BY-SA (Attribution-ShareAlike) license. This license allows for sharing and adapting these materials, provided that Soccerwidow is credited as the source and any derivative works are shared under the same terms.

As an analytical betting tool, Netherland Eredivisie 1×2 HDAFU Tables employ historical data to uncover value bet clusters, unmask bookmakers’ odds strategies, and illustrate how odds fluctuations influence other outcomes, assisting bettors in identifying profitable opportunities.

Betting without a system? That’s like sailing a ship without a compass. Navigate with knowledge.

FINDING THE EDGE IN BETTING

Leverage Inflection Points

Inflection Points, visualized in HDAFU Tables (Home Draw Away Favourite Underdog P/L simulations), reveal key shifts in the profit/loss trajectories of betting.

These shifts are a consequence of bookmakers’ calculated odds adjustments to ensure a balanced betting landscape.

When one outcome’s odds are inflated to appease public opinion, it logically results in another outcome being underrated, keeping the total probabilities at 100%.

This knowledge allows bettors to find their edge, using these regularities to identify and leverage underrated and overrated odds clusters, unique to each league.

P/L simulation curve: Netherlands Eredivisie 2018-23 - Backing the home win 1st half by odds

P/L simulation curve: Netherlands Eredivisie 2018-23 - Backing the favourite 2nd half by odds

THE ART OF ODDS MANIPULATION

Mastering the Bookmaker’s Game

Bookmaker odds are not just statistical predictions; they’re strategic chess moves played out on the board of the betting market.

Their goal? To safeguard the bookmakers’ profits while subtly swaying public betting behaviour.

This delicate dance is made visible in the P/L curves of Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables, spotlighting the points of strategic odds manipulation.

With this map, seasoned punters can outsmart the system, identifying over- and under-priced odds clusters unique to the Netherland Eredivisie, and effectively turning the game on its head.

UNVEILING THE MARKET

The HO/AO Quotient

The HO/AO quotient, a simple calculation of Home Odds divided by Away Odds, emerges as a potent weapon in the betting arsenal.

It expands the traditional outlook of separate odds, bridging the gap between home and away odds.

This bridge facilitates historical match comparison, offering a deeper understanding of odds manipulation by bookmakers.

By using the HO/AO quotient, punters can discern the subtle nuances of bookmaking, potentially unlocking profitable opportunities.

Screenshot from the HDAFU Table: Netherlands Eredivisie - System Picker Tab - 1st half - backing home win by odds 2018-23 Screenshot from the HDAFU Table: Netherlands Eredivisie - System Picker Tab Graph - 1st half - backing home win by odds 2018-23 Screenshot from the HDAFU Table: Netherlands Eredivisie - System Picker Tab - 2nd half - backing home win by odds 2018-23 Screenshot from the HDAFU Table: Netherlands Eredivisie - System Picker Tab Graph - 2nd half - backing home win by odds 2018-23
Click on the image above to toggle manually between slides

DECODING THE NETHERLAND EREDIVISIE’S BETTING DYNAMICS

Odds Play Revealed

The System Picker Tab charts a five-year profit/loss trajectory based on criteria like bet type (Home Win, Away Win, Draw, Favourite Win, Underdog Win), season segment (1st, 2nd, or whole), Analysis Type (by Odds, by HOAO Quotient), and the relevant cluster numbers.

A conspicuous shift is evident in the Netherland Eredivisie, showcasing bookmakers’ adept odds manipulation between the season’s two halves.

For instance, backing the Home Win with odds between 1.9 to 2.5 would have resulted in a loss of 2,775 units in the First Half. Yet, the same bet in the Second Half would have garnered a profit of 3,582 units.

This reversal emerges because Dutch bettors, in the latter half, lean more towards backing Draws and Away Wins. The HO AO Quotient graphs underscore this trend, especially among closely matched teams, providing bookmakers a ripe opportunity to capitalise on.

DECODING EREDIVISIE’S BETTING TRENDS

Follow the Money

The HDAFU Tables unravel some eye-opening insights.

If one consistently backed all outcomes, the resultant losses would be startling: 3,671 units for Home Wins, 6,336 for Draws, and a whopping 12,440 for Away Wins.

Laying enthusiasts should particularly zoom in on Away Wins for optimal results.

Notably, PSV Eindhoven, during their home games, single-handedly swelled the Away Win losses by a significant 5,342 units.

The mantra?

Pursue the plummeting P/L curve. Such downturns signify bookmakers cutting odds, playing on punters’ skewed perceptions of higher likelihoods.

Essentially, understand the nuances, adapt your strategies, and let the money guide your path.

Two player of the Netherland Eredivisie fell over in a match. One player on his four watching on the ball, the other jumping over his back.

The product page samples offer just an initial peek into the vast capabilities of the HDAFU Tables. Delving deeper will unveil a myriad of hidden insights, bespoke strategies, and intricate analysis. Each league presents a unique set of challenges and rewards. With Soccerwidow’s HDAFU Tables, you’re not just prepared — you’re ahead.

As you navigate the expansive world of betting, remember to anchor your decisions in responsibility, ensuring a safe and informed approach.