France Ligue 2 Cluster Tables 2022-23

£1.25

Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Cluster Tables
Valid for Back Testing and Learning: 2022-23 Season

FT Over/Under markets between 0.5 & 6.5 Goals

France’s Ligue 2, known for its strong defensive tactics and close standings, presents a low-scoring but strategically complex betting environment.

With an average of under two goals per game, it ranks among Europe’s least prolific leagues. Approximately 60% of matches in recent seasons have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, reflecting a consistent trend towards low-scoring games.

These dynamics create a league full of tactical play and unpredictable results, making it a fascinating case study for those interested in sports analytics and betting strategies.

Product Specification
Over/Under ‘X’ Goals Betting Table (1798 Game Analysis 2017-22, Excel .xls, 1.61 MB)

France Ligue 2 Calendar 2022-23
Start Date: 30th July, 2022
1st Half Ends: 12th November, 2022

2nd Half starts: 26th December, 2022
Finish Date: 2nd June, 2023

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Cluster Tables are a valuable resource for those looking to make strategic bets in the Over/Under goals market. They help bettors to calculate probabilities and Zero-Odds for goal bets, enabling value detection by comparing market prices to true odds.

Want to fully understand Cluster Tables and how to apply them? Get our Fundamentals of Sports Betting course book.

Harness the wisdom of statistics, and you’ll uncover a world of opportunity, hidden beneath the surface of betting markets.

CLOSE STANDINGS, TACTICAL PLAY

Goal Scarcity

Ligue 2 is one of Europe’s lowest-scoring leagues, with an average of under two goals per game.

This is largely due to the strong defensive play and tactical style employed by many teams.

The league is also known for its close standings, with many teams bunched closely together, making for an unpredictable betting experience with many upsets and unexpected outcomes.

Overall, Ligue 2 offers a unique statistical profile that sets it apart from other professional leagues.

French footballer Gaëtan Charbonnier scoring a goal
Gaëtan Charbonnier, forward for Ligue 2 club Saint-Étienne

Graph of Goal Distribution - France Ligue 2 - 2017-18 to 2021-22

THE BATTLE AGAINST LOW SCORES

The 2.5 Goal Ceiling

Over the past four seasons of France Ligue 2, approximately 60% of matches finished with under 2.5 goals, a trend consistent with the ongoing 2022-2023 season.

The total goals curve of the previous and current seasons shows two peaks:

In the 2018-19 and 2019-20 (Covid) seasons, the curve peaked at 1 goal per match (around 25% of all matches)

The other three seasons, the curves peaked at 2 goals per match with approximately 27% of all matches.

THE HIDDEN PATTERNS

From Losses to Profits

Imagine being able to predict the outcome of football matches before they happen. You’d be rolling in cash, right? Well, not necessarily.

If you’d placed bets on all Under 2.5 goals in the France Ligue 2 over the past five years, you would have lost a whopping 3000 units.

However, if you’d bet on matches with odds from 1.64 to 1.73, you’d have made a profit of almost 4000 units.

Intrigued? You can explore this data yourself with our Cluster Tables, which feature a range of eye-opening graphs that visualize profit/loss curves for different betting strategies.

Profit Loss simulation Inflection Graph U 2.5 goals - France Ligue 2 - 2017-18 to 2021-22
Graph to be found in the ‘OU 2.5 Goals IPs’ tab in the Cluster Tables

Table with Over Under goals probability calculations - Over - France Ligue 2 - Valenciennes vs Paris FC 2023.04.01 Table with Over Under goals probability calculations - Under - France Ligue 2 - Valenciennes vs Paris FC 2023.04.01
Click on the image above to toggle manually between Over and Under calculations

CLUSTER TABLES: TRANSFORM YOUR BETTING

Data-Driven Approach

In this example, we demonstrate selecting Value Bets using probabilities between 60% and 95% (the fourth column: Average). We choose bets with odds above zero, regardless of their position within the fair odds range.

This match had two Value Bets: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 odds, and Over 1.5 goals at 1.44. O1.5 was within the fair odds range and above the Zero odds, while O0.5 was exactly at Zero odds. We decided to take both bets.

All other Over bets were also good Value Bets with odds in favour of the bettor, but with lower probabilities to win. Approximately 60% of Ligue 2 matches finish with under 2.5 goals, so inflated odds for Over bets might be a regular occurrence as the public likely prefers betting on Unders.

Both bets won, but we wouldn’t have been surprised by a loss.

FOOTBALL BETTING MASTERCLASS

Predict with Finesse

Immerse yourself in the world of Cluster Tables and learn to expertly predict goals, accurately calculate odds, and uncover high-value bets in the thrilling realm of football betting.

Empower yourself with this essential knowledge to make informed decisions, boosting your chances of success.

Elevate your football betting skills to unprecedented heights and bet with unwavering confidence. Let us unravel the enigmatic secrets of football betting, one step at a time.

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